Recently, it was learned from Southern Power Grid that as of the end of 2024, the total installed capacity of new energy in five southern provinces and regions including Guangdong, Guangxi, Yunnan, Guizhou, and Hainan has exceeded 190 million kilowatts, reaching 192 million kilowatts, firmly ranking as the largest power source in Southern Power Grid. Among them, the installed capacity of wind power is 60.28 million kilowatts, the installed capacity of integrated photovoltaics is 78.72 million kilowatts, and the installed capacity of distributed photovoltaics is 43.13 million kilowatts.
In 2024, the five southern provinces and regions added 59.32 million kilowatts of new energy installed capacity, setting a new historical high and accounting for 82% of the new power installed capacity. Among them, 49.18 million kilowatts of new photovoltaic power generation installed capacity and 9.52 million kilowatts of new wind power installed capacity were added. The total electricity generation from various new energy sources reached 245.5 billion kilowatt hours throughout the year, a year-on-year increase of 36%. The wind and photovoltaic power generation both exceeded 100 billion kilowatt hours.
From a regional perspective, by the end of 2024, the proportion of new energy installed capacity in Guangxi and Hainan exceeded 40%, Yunnan accounted for over 30%, and Guangdong and Guizhou accounted for nearly 30%.
Yang Zaimin, Deputy Director of the New Energy Institute of Southern Power Grid Energy Research Institute, analyzed that since the 14th Five Year Plan, the average annual growth rate of new energy installed capacity in the southern region has been nearly 39%. Especially in the past two years, the installed capacity of new energy has doubled. Among them, distributed photovoltaics have seen significant growth, accounting for over one-third of the total installed capacity of photovoltaic power generation. Distributed photovoltaic power generation will continue its large-scale development trend in the future; In the field of offshore wind power, Guangdong has firmly maintained its leading advantage in installed capacity, while Guangxi and Hainan have achieved “zero breakthrough” in offshore wind power installation by 2024. The southern region has officially formed a new pattern of parallel rise and vigorous development of offshore wind power in Guangdong, Guangxi, and Hainan.
Under the high-speed growth trend of new energy installation and penetration rate reaching a historic high, by 2024, the utilization rate of new energy in the five southern provinces and regions will reach 98.8%, and the consumption level will maintain a leading position in the country.
Since the implementation of the ecological cultivation plan for the value of new energy power prediction for more than three years, the short-term and ultra short term prediction accuracy of the entire network of Southern Power Grid has reached 91.2% and 89.4% respectively, creating conditions for the cross provincial consumption of new energy. Wang Haohuai, manager of the Hydropower and New Energy Department of the Southern Power Grid Power Dispatching Control Center, said that starting from January 2025, the cultivation of new energy power prediction in Southern Power Grid will introduce AI models such as “Big Watt” and “Wind Wu” to improve prediction accuracy, support the participation of new energy in market transactions, and turn new energy generation into high-quality electricity that supports power supply.
To address the challenges brought by the large-scale integration of new energy into the grid, Southern Power Grid Corporation will also upgrade its new energy dispatch and operation management platform to version 2.0. In addition to aggregating data on power generation, forecasting, meteorology, etc., the platform will also use digital means to dynamically analyze the operating situation and consumption risks. At the same time, it will conduct statistical analysis on the production and operation of new energy storage, distributed and other new formats, further enhancing the observability, measurability, adjustability and controllability of new energy, and ensuring reliable power supply and maximum consumption of new energy from all aspects of source grid load storage.